Georgia: Russia A "Threat," Turkey And Azerbaijan "Partners," Armenia "Good Neighbor"
Georgia has released its new "National Security Concept" document, updating it from the 2005 version which said there was “little possibility of open military aggression against Georgia." Now, unsurprisingly, Russia dominates the document (pdf): of the twelve "Threats, Risks and Challenges to the National Security of Georgia" it identifies, ten are tied to Russia and its role in the breakaway territories of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Equally unsurprisingly, the U.S. tops the list in the document's section on "Strengthening foreign relationships." But the rest of the list is interesting to peruse. Ukraine is the second country mentioned, ranking as a "strategic partner." Turkey is next, as "Georgia’s leading partner in the region," with cooperation in trade, energy and military spheres. It then cites the importance of relations with "Central and Southeast European and Scandinavian states," as well as Moldova and Belarus, but for whatever reason doesn't mention Western Europe at all (though of course the EU and NATO as organizations are prominently featured). There is a whole paragraph on Latin America and the Caribbean, but no mention of France, Germany, the UK? No doubt the Western European reluctance to admit Georgia into NATO is the major factor there.
Elsewhere in the region, Azerbaijan is called a "strategic partner" while Armenia is cited for its "good neighborly relations and mutually beneficial cooperation." Russia here, too, is of course the factor, according to Georgian political analyst Soso Tsintsadze: "Armenia cannot be a strategic partner of Georgia and Russia simultaneously." And while just a year ago it seemed that relations between Tbilisi and Tehran were warming quite a bit, now Iran is only barely mentioned, in the section on economic cooperation.
Joshua Kucera, a senior correspondent, is Eurasianet's former Turkey/Caucasus editor and has written for the site since 2007.
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