In addition to the risk of the Ukraine War spreading to Georgian territory, the planned Russian naval base in Abkhazia could threaten Georgia's status as a global east-west connectivity hub.
The apparent easing of U.S.-Azerbaijani tensions has done nothing to slow the wave of arrests that began amid a state media campaign signaling a hunt for "U.S. spies."
Armenia is increasingly keen on Western mediation while Azerbaijan prefers to see the issue settled with the participation of regional powers like Russia and Turkey.